'Pick your targets’ — Bitcoin analyst believes Fed will favor bulls
Bitcoin (BTC) stayed below $25,000 on June 15 after a snap reaction to United States economic policy changes saw three-month lows.
BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart on Bitstamp. Source: TradingViewHawkish Powell "all bark, no bite"
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView tracked BTC/USD as it consolidated after the prior day’s losses totaled over 3%.
The U.S. Federal Reserve had delivered an expected pause in interest rate hikes — its first since 2021 — while keeping the mood hawkish. Chair Jerome Powell suggested that fresh hikes may be necessary in future to tame inflation.
“As I noted earlier, nearly all Committee participants expect that it will be appropriate to raise interest rates somewhat further by the end of the year,” he said at a press conference, referencing the views of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
“But at this meeting, considering how far and how fast we have moved, we judged it prudent to hold the target range steady to allow the Committee to assess additional information and its implications for monetary policy.”Markets thus placed more than a 70% chance of a hike at the next FOMC meeting in July, as per data from CME Group's FedWatch Tool on the day.
Fed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME GroupThe mixed signals ended up adding additional downward pressure to already fragile crypto price performance.
Not everyone, however, was downbeat about the outlook. Analyzing the Fed event, Keith Alan, co-founder of monitoring resource Material Indicators, described Powell as “all bark, no bite.”
“He telegraphed super hawkish to tame markets, but executed a super dovish pause,” he told Twitter followers.
“Pick your targets.”An accompanying chart showed major support zones for BTC/USD, these forming throughout the past six years since its prior all-time high of $20,000.
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Keith Alan/TwitterMore BTC price volatility to come
Continuing, analysis argued that the situation for BTC price action may get more interesting still.
Related: US Bitcoin supply fell over 10% in the past year — Glassnode
Spot, trading suite Decentrader noted, was approaching an area of leveraged long liquidity.
#Bitcoin is slowly getting closer the the 3x Long Liquidity.
Starts at $23,100. https://t.co/PWkS078rnF pic.twitter.com/b0iPBloAsB
— Decentrader (@decentrader) June 15, 2023“Again: volatility is incoming,” Maartunn, a contributor at on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, emphasized on the day.
“While the price of bitcoin is going sideways, open interest has increased by 439 million dollars. Different from previous occasions, Funding Rates are trending down, close to neutral. Suggestion longs and shorts are in (almost) in balance).”
BTC/USD exchange data annotated chart. Source: Maartunn/TwitterThis article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.