TA: Bitcoin Price Keeps Struggling, What Could Trigger Another Downtrend
Bitcoin price is struggling to climb above the $20,000 resistance against the US Dollar. BTC could decline heavily if there is a close below the $18,500 support.
Bitcoin remained in a range and stayed above the $19,000 support zone. The price is trading below $19,400 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near $19,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if there is a clear move below the $18,500 support.Bitcoin Price Stuck In a Range
Bitcoin price attempted a fresh increase above the $19,000 resistance zone. BTC climbed above the $19,250 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
The price even gained pace above the $19,500 resistance and spiked above $20,000. However, the bears were active above the $20,000 resistance zone. A high was formed near $20,177 and the price started a downside correction.
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A low is formed near $18,937 and the price is consolidating losses. It is trading near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $20,177 swing high to $18,937 low.
On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $19,400 level and the 100 hourly SMA. The next major resistance sits near the $19,560 zone. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $20,177 swing high to $18,937 low.
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A clear move above the $19,560 resistance might start a fresh increase. In the stated case, the price could even surpass the $20,000 resistance zone. The next major resistance is near the $20,500 zone.
Another Drop in BTC?
If bitcoin fails to rise above the $19,560 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. An immediate support on the downside is near the $19,000 zone.
The next major support is near the $18,580 zone. The main support is near $18,500, below which there could be a sharp drop to $18,000. Any more losses might call for a drop towards the $17,500 support.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $19,000, followed by $18,580.
Major Resistance Levels – $19,560, $20,000 and $20,500.